Replacing Natural Gas Heating

The belief that replacing natural gas heating with electric heat or heat pumps in millions of homes will be cheap and easy is delusional. As usual, a report by an environmental group says the energy gas to electric transition will save money, be cheap, be easy and just requires some unspecified government incentives, subsidies, which always come from taxpayers and rate payer’s pockets.

New Jersey can follow the framework set by fellow Northeast states to successfully, quickly and affordably switch to an electric future.’’

The first critical question what is the accuracy of previous Arcadia reports? Did they make specific predictions that were measured and actually occurred? Where are the examples in to verify this statement? Provide the examples.

For instance, Massachusetts offers incentives ranging from $4,000 to $10,000 to convert to cold-climate heat pumps, Boyd said.

How many people accepted incentives and how successful were the transitions?  According to the Fuel Oil industry the costs were much higher (1) .

How soon should this transformation be done?

The state’s Energy Master Plan recommends converting 22% of buildings to electric heat pumps by 2030, a target that proponents say is not aggressive enough to achieve the state’s clean-energy goal.

There are 3.2 million housing units in the state and 75% or 2.4 million are heated with natural gas.   To convert 22% of these means 528,000 must be converted by 2030 which is 7.75 years from now.  This means 187 houses per day must be converted every day from now until 2030.

How will this be done?

New Jersey needs to start developing the policies and incentives to advance building electrification in a way that benefits consumers, supports low- and moderate-income communities, and reduces harmful indoor emissions,’

No details describing the engineering, wiring, materials, manpower or schedules required are provided. This transition is only a wish.  Simply, the advocates have no idea how to do this transition.

Have the politicians, environmental organization leaders and members converted their homes to electric heat? If not, why not? They should lead by example, not by demand.

What is the required increase in electricity production necessary to heat 2.4 million homes and how will this be provided?

If the transition is done what will be the measurable decrease in sea level rise and decrease in storm numbers and intensity?

`(1) https://fueloilnews.com/2020/06/02/new-jersey-has-an-energy-master-plan-fossil-fuels-would-be-out-electricity-would-be-in/

 

https://www.njspotlightnews.org/2022/03/nj-electric-buildings-climate-change-heat-pump-fossil-fuels-state-goals/

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